Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
