Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Adelaide United had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for an Adelaide United win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
68.12% (![]() | 18.37% (![]() | 13.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% (![]() | 38.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.89% (![]() | 61.11% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% (![]() | 10.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.02% (![]() | 33.98% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.33% (![]() | 40.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.74% (![]() | 77.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-0 @ 10.83% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() Other @ 4.51% Total : 68.11% | 1-1 @ 8.62% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 3.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
2 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Macarthur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |