Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.52% (![]() | 21.8% (![]() | 20.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.46% (![]() | 41.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.06% (![]() | 63.93% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% (![]() | 14.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.05% (![]() | 41.94% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% (![]() | 33.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% (![]() | 70.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 10.16% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.51% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 20.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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