Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 35.58% ( | 25.22% ( | 39.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( | 46.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( | 69.02% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( | 25.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.56% ( | 60.44% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.32% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.58% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
| 3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Macarthur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 14 |
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