Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
37.82% (![]() | 25.79% (![]() | 36.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.76% (![]() | 49.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.7% (![]() | 71.3% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% (![]() | 25.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.7% (![]() | 60.3% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% (![]() | 26.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.62% (![]() | 61.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.15% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 12.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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