Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 37.82% ( | 25.79% ( | 36.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.76% ( | 49.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.7% ( | 71.3% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( | 25.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.7% ( | 60.3% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( | 26.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.62% ( | 61.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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