Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
22.46% (![]() | 23.63% (![]() | 53.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.58% (![]() | 47.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.36% (![]() | 69.63% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% (![]() | 35.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% (![]() | 72.2% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.49% (![]() | 17.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.99% (![]() | 48.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
1-0 @ 6.44% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.46% | 1-1 @ 11.21% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 10.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.67% Total : 53.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 40 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 34 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 23 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 22 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
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