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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Dec 29, 2020 at 8.05am UK at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Brisbane Roar
0 - 1
Melbourne City

Hingert (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Metcalfe (52')
Luna (52')
Luna (69')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
28.3%23.03%48.67%
Both teams to score 61.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.51%39.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.17%61.83%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46%26.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26%61.74%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51%16.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79%46.21%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 28.3%
    Melbourne City 48.67%
    Draw 23.03%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.94%
1-0 @ 5.8%
2-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.02%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.3%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.38%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-1 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 7.11%
1-3 @ 5.67%
0-3 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.55%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 48.67%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2020 7.30am
Jan 11, 2020 6am
Brisbane Roar
2-2
Melbourne City
Inman (35', 45')
Aldred (76'), Hingert (80')
Noone (39'), Atkinson (48')
Jamieson (63')
Nov 17, 2019 5am
Brisbane Roar
4-3
Melbourne City
O'Donovan (50', 64' pen., 83' pen.), Amadi-Holloway (60')
McGing (33'), O'Donovan (52'), Wenzel-Halls (71'), O'Shea (85'), Mauk (88')
MacLaren (6', 29', 51')
Noone (56'), Griffiths (67'), Genreau (82'), Cabrera (84'), Galloway (94')
Apr 5, 2019 9.50am
Melbourne City
4-1
Brisbane Roar
Griffiths (27'), Harrison (59'), De Laet (70'), McGree (94')
De Laet (75')
Delbridge (54' og.)
Jan 11, 2019 8.50am
Melbourne City
1-0
Brisbane Roar
De Laet (52')
Delbridge (73'), Galekovic (93')

Lopez (59'), D'Agostino (79'), Ingham (89')
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