Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.