Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.