

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 51.14% ( | 20.75% ( | 28.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 69.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.58% ( | 28.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.73% ( | 49.26% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( | 11.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.18% ( | 36.81% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( | 20.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.27% ( | 53.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 4-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-3 @ 1.38% ( 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 3-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-0 @ 2.45% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 39 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 36 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 34 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 25 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 14 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
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