Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 4pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 5-1 Le Havre
Both teams have seen 42 goals scored across their last 10 matches, with both teams scoring in nine of those outings, so another goal fest should be in store, particularly given PSG's attacking prowess, and Le Havre's worrying defensive numbers. There is no doubting the outcome either, as runaway champions PSG will be keen to complete the season unbeaten, and this Le Havre side are several levels below theirs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 87.89%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 3.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 4-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Le Havre |
87.89% ( 0.02) | 8.26% ( -0.02) | 3.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
