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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 4pm UK
Parc des Princes
Le Havre

PSG
2 - 1
Le Havre

Doue (8'), Ramos (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Soumare (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 PSG
Tuesday, April 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Le Havre 1-5 Rennes
Sunday, April 13 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 87.89%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 3.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 4-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
87.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)8.26% (-0.02 -0.02)3.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.85% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.46% (0.052999999999997 0.05)22.53% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.37% (0.075000000000003 0.08)41.62% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.74% (0.007000000000005 0.01)3.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.61% (0.036000000000001 0.04)14.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.43% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)51.57% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)85.72% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 87.88%
    Le Havre 3.84%
    Draw 8.26%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLe Havre
3-0 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 9.63% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-1 @ 7.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 6.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
6-0 @ 3.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-1 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
7-0 @ 1.85% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
7-1 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 87.88%
1-1 @ 3.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 8.26%
1-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 3.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Le Havre

Paris Saint-Germain
87.2%
Draw
12.8%
Le Havre
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Le Havre
1-4
PSG
Lloris (48')
Youte Kinkoue (15'), Joujou (45+3'), Lloris (88')
Kang-in (3'), Dembele (85'), Barcola (86'), Kolo (90' pen.)
Apr 27, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-3
Le Havre
Barcola (29'), Hakimi (78'), Ramos (90+5')
Zaire-Emery (74'), Mbappe (90+3')
Operi (19'), Ayew (38'), Toure (61' pen.)
Sangante (90+7')
Dec 3, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 14
Le Havre
0-2
PSG

Operi (68'), Alioui (76')
Mbappe (23'), Vitinha (89')
Pereira (87')
Donnarumma (10')
Jul 21, 2023 4pm
Club Friendlies
PSG
2-0
Le Havre
Ekitike (53'), Mbappe (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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