Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 87.89%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 3.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 4-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Le Havre | 
| 87.89% ( | 8.26% ( | 3.84% ( | 
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 77.46% ( | 22.53% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 58.37% ( | 41.62% ( | 
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 96.74% ( | 3.25% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 85.61% ( | 14.38% ( | 
| Le Havre Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 48.43% ( | 51.57% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.28% ( | 85.72% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Le Havre | 
| 3-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 4-0 @ 9.63% ( 3-1 @ 7.44% ( 5-0 @ 6.6% ( 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 4-1 @ 6.38% ( 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 5-1 @ 4.37% ( 6-0 @ 3.77% ( 6-1 @ 2.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 7-0 @ 1.85% ( 5-2 @ 1.45% ( 7-1 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 4.79% Total : 87.88%  | 1-1 @ 3.8% ( 2-2 @ 2.16% ( 0-0 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 8.26%  | 1-2 @ 1.26% ( 0-1 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 3.84%  | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 | 
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 | 
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 | 
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 | 
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 | 
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 | 
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 | 
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 | 
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 | 
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 | 
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 | 
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 | 
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 | 
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 | 
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 | 
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 | 
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 | 
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
