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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Le Havre

Lyon
4 - 2
Le Havre

Lacazette (22' pen.), Fofana (78'), Mikautadze (82'), Almada (90+6')
Matic (37'), Nuamah (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Toure (31' pen.), Casimir (45+1')
Gorgelin (63'), Nego (66'), Toure (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 4-0 FCSB
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 1-1 St Etienne
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 74.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 9.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawLe Havre
74.93% (0.34 0.34)15.08% (-0.173 -0.17)9.99% (-0.1691 -0.17)
Both teams to score 53.56% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.58% (0.34699999999999 0.35)32.42% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.94% (0.402 0.4)54.05% (-0.405 -0.41)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.14699999999999 0.15)7.28% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64% (0.39 0.39)26.36% (-0.394 -0.39)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)42.23% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.37% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)78.63% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 74.93%
    Le Havre 9.99%
    Draw 15.08%
LyonDrawLe Havre
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.04% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.2% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.73% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.38% (0.038 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.19% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 74.93%
1-1 @ 6.95% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.08%
1-2 @ 2.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 2.65% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 9.99%

How you voted: Lyon vs Le Havre

Lyon
92.1%
Draw
7.9%
Le Havre
0.0%
38
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 8
Le Havre
0-4
Lyon

Nego (6'), Toure (18'), Casimir (36')
Vinicius (32'), Fofana (57'), Lacazette (71'), Benrahma (87')
Cherki (35'), Caqueret (36'), Tolisso (47'), Nuamah (78')
Jan 14, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 18
Le Havre
3-1
Lyon
Lloris (18'), Sabbi (50'), Operi (62')
Operi (87')
Lacazette (54')
O'Brien (30'), Caleta-Car (90')
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lyon
0-0
Le Havre
Lacazette (5'), Mata (41'), Kumbedi (79')
Bayo (38'), Casimir (65')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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