Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
23.95% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() | 52.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.91% (![]() | 45.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.57% (![]() | 67.43% (![]() |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% (![]() | 32.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% (![]() | 69.38% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% (![]() | 17.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.65% (![]() | 47.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 6.26% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.95% | 1-1 @ 11.05% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |