MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 14:39:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Le Havre

Brest
2 - 0
Le Havre

Ajorque (12'), Salah (90+2')
Haidara (17'), Ndiaye (25'), Lees-Melou (79')
Haidara (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 0-4 Brest
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-3 Lille
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-0 Le Havre

Brest have looked relatively comfortable defensively at home in this competition, and though fatigue might play a factor for them on Sunday, we expect to see them grind out another victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLe Havre
58.26% (0.1 0.1) 23.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 18.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.76% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)52.72% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)74.36% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13%17.86% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.62% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.93% (-0.171 -0.17)43.07% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (-0.146 -0.15)79.35% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Brest 58.24%
    Le Havre 18.12%
    Draw 23.62%
BrestDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 13.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 58.24%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.7% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.12%

How you voted: Brest vs Le Havre

Brest
87.2%
Draw
12.8%
Le Havre
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
1-0
Le Havre
Lees-Melou (34')
Del Castillo (52'), Martin (72'), Satriano (76'), Lees-Melou (83')

El Hajjam (55')
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Le Havre
1-2
Brest
Kuzyaev (52')
Del Castillo (28'), Brassier (56')
Camara (47'), Camblan (89')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Le Havre
1-1
Brest
Bain (24')
Assifuah (17'), Bonnet (53')
Ferhat (39')
Charbonnier (48')
Belkebla (31'), Court (33')
Chardonnet (83')
Aug 28, 2018 7pm
Second Round
Le Havre
3-3
Brest
(Aggregate 3-3 | Le Havre win 6-5 on penalties)
Gory (20', 35'), Moussiti-Oko (49')
Chardonnet (66'), Autret (67'), Castelletto (69')
Henry (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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