Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 0
Le Havre

Babicka (70'), Gboho (86')
J (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sangante (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Le Havre
41.24% ( -0.31)	27.75% ( 0.15)	31.01% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

-0.51)

58.04% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

-0.4)

78.72% (

0.4)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.41)

27.68% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.52)

63.23% (

0.53)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

-0.16)

34.13% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.17% (

-0.17)

70.83% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 41.23%

Le Havre 31.01%

Draw 27.74%

Toulouse	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.23%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Le Havre

Toulouse

65.7%

Draw

25.7%

Le Havre

8.6%

Head to Head

Mar 10, 2024 2pm

Gameweek 25

Le Havre

1-0

Toulouse

Operi (60')
Operi (84'), Ngoura (90+5')

Keben (90+5')

> Preview

Nov 5, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 11

Toulouse

1-2

Le Havre

Dallinga (49')
Costa (30'), Schmidt (45+4')

Bayo (83', 90+6')
Casimir (45+2'), N'Diaye (85')

> Preview

Feb 21, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

Toulouse

4-0

Le Havre

Nicolaisen (23'), Onaiwu (27'), Van den Boomen (48' pen.), N'Goumou (80')
Spierings (19'), Healey (71')

Lekhal (22'), Bonnet (47')

Sep 13, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 7

Le Havre

1-1

Toulouse

Cornette (67')
Lekhal (90+5')
Boutaib (62')

Onaiwu (34')
Rouault (13'), Onaiwu (51'), Nicolaisen (55'), Desler (60')

May 4, 2021 6pm

Gameweek 34

Le Havre

0-1

Toulouse

Bonnet (4'), Lekhal (69'), Boutaib (89')
Bonnet (60')

Kone (28')
van den Boomen (47'), Gabrielsen (70'), Spierings (77'), Dewaest (83')

Form Guide

Toulouse 1-3 Marseille

Nice 1-1 Toulouse

Toulouse 0-0 Nantes

Toulouse 0-2 Valladolid

Espanyol 0-0 Toulouse

Girona 0-4 Toulouse

Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre

St Etienne 0-2 Le Havre

Le Havre 1-4 PSG

Le Havre 0-6 VfL Bochum

Le Havre 1-2 Red Star

Nijmegen 1-1 Le Havre

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table