Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 0
Le Havre

Babicka (70'), Gboho (86')
J (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sangante (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Auxerre
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Le Havre
41.24% ( -0.31)	27.75% ( 0.15)	31.01% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

-0.51)

58.04% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

-0.4)

78.72% (

0.4)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.41)

27.68% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.52)

63.23% (

0.53)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

-0.16)

34.13% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.17% (

-0.17)

70.83% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 41.23%

Le Havre 31.01%

Draw 27.74%

Toulouse	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.23%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.01%