Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Marseille |
31.16% (![]() | 26.7% (![]() | 42.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.95% (![]() | 54.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% (![]() | 75.48% (![]() |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% (![]() | 31.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% (![]() | 68.41% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% (![]() | 25.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% (![]() | 60.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.24% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 12.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 11.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 33 | 52 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 59 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 58 |
4 | Nice | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 57 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 57 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 57 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Brest | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 47 |
10 | Auxerre | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 38 |
13 | Reims | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
14 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 31 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 74 | -39 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |