Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens1 - 1Le Havre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lens 2-0 Le Havre
Lens have had a rough few weeks by losing to two direct top-four rivals, but a favourable game on paper should see them return to form this weekend. Le Havre have shown no form whatsoever in recent weeks, and a lack of goals is sinking them deeper into trouble, with away results also a huge concern after a recent defeat at Clermont. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Le Havre |
57.28% ( -0.01) | 23.17% ( -0.01) | 19.54% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( 0.05) | 49.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( 0.04) | 71.11% ( -0.05) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( 0.01) | 16.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.1% ( 0.03) | 46.9% ( -0.03) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( 0.04) | 39.3% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24% ( 0.04) | 76% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 57.27%
Le Havre 19.54%
Draw 23.17%
| Lens | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.54% |
How you voted: Lens vs Le Havre
Lens
91.9%Draw
2.7%Le Havre
5.4%37
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 28, 2019
12am
