MX23RW : Thursday, March 6 20:53:45| >> :60:306:306:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
5 - 0
Metropolitanos

Cuero (5' og.), Bou (23', 55'), Alvarez (52'), Watson (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Graterol (27'), Bustillo (66')
Villero (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Metropolitanos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 12.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawMetropolitanos
67.82% (-0.191 -0.19) 20.02% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 12.16% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 43.71% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.126 0.13)49.28% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.113 0.11)71.33% (-0.114 -0.11)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)13.55% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)40.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.56% (0.322 0.32)49.43% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.74% (0.225 0.23)84.26% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 67.81%
    Metropolitanos 12.16%
    Draw 20.02%
LanusDrawMetropolitanos
1-0 @ 13.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 13.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.92% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 67.81%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.02%
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 12.16%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Metropolitanos
0-2
Lanus

Araujo (27'), Bareiro (53'), Garces (63'), Flores (86')
Bou (29', 34')
Bou (22')
May 25, 2022 11.15pm
Group Stage
Lanus
1-0
Metropolitanos
Braghieri (51')
Aguirre (87')

Bolivar (7'), Annese (47'), Jesus Pabon Delgao (88'), Fuentes (90+1')
Bolivar (59')
Apr 8, 2022 1.30am
Group Stage
Metropolitanos
0-0
Lanus
Cova (63'), Moreira (90')
Di Placido (19')
rhs 2.0
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