MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 07:53:01| >> :60:113:113:
Molde logo
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 2
Legia

Hestad (11'), Eriksen (17'), Gulbrandsen (43')
Stenevik (14')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Chodyna (64'), Luquinhas (67')
Ziolkowski (50'), Luquinhas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Molde and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Molde (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 20 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Legia 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, March 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

We said: Molde 1-2 Legia Warsaw

The hosts have struggled at times in Europe this season, while Legia established themselves as one of the top teams during the league phase, and we expect the visitors to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawLegia Warsaw
57.8% (0.012 0.01) 21.46%20.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76%62.24% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)13.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)40.69% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69.37% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Molde 57.8%
    Legia Warsaw 20.74%
    Draw 21.46%
MoldeDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 57.8%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 20.74%

How you voted: Molde vs Legia

Molde
43.2%
Draw
6.8%
Legia Warsaw
50.0%
74
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2024 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 2nd Leg
Legia
0-3
Molde

Elitim (26'), Augustyniak (56')
Gulbrandsen (2', 67'), Hestad (20')
Andre Kaasa (28'), Gulbrandsen (47'), Haugan (71'), Fjortoft Lovik (74')
Feb 15, 2024 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Molde
3-2
Legia
Gulbrandsen (12', 19'), Andre Kaasa (24')
Eriksen (58'), Hagelskjaer (70'), Hestad (82'), Linnes (90'), Odegard (90+2')
Pesqueira (63'), Augustyniak (71')
Elitim (85'), Pesqueira (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
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RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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