We say: Legia Warsaw 1-1 Molde
Despite Molde's comfortable win when these sides met in Poland last season, we think this game will be much closer this time.
The Norwegian outfit have had to work hard to make it this far in the competition, with some close calls along the way, and we can see this game being tight again, but Molde should just about make it through.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%).