MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 01:34:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2025 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
3 - 3
Legia

van Hoeven (37'), Mraz (65', 90+10', 90+11')
Labojko (48'), Wojcik (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gual (11'), Chodyna (55'), Morishita (71')
Wszolek (26'), Pankov (64'), Augustyniak (90'), Kovacevic (90+9')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 0-1 Motor Lublin
Sunday, March 2 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Molde 3-2 Legia
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawLegia Warsaw
36.35% (-1 -1) 26.02% (0.281 0.28) 37.64% (0.719 0.72)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.978 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-1.24 -1.24)50.24% (1.241 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (-1.111 -1.11)72.2% (1.111 1.11)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (-1.147 -1.15)26.76% (1.147 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-1.537 -1.54)62.04% (1.538 1.54)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.173 -0.17)26.03% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.233 -0.23)61.06% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 36.35%
    Legia Warsaw 37.64%
    Draw 26.01%
Motor LublinDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.162 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.35%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.417 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Motor Lublin vs Legia

Motor Lublin
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Legia Warsaw
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 1.45pm
Gameweek 7
Legia
5-2
Motor Lublin
Kapustka (30', 69'), Wszolek (36' pen.), Alfarela (48'), Nsame (90+2')
Goncalves (4'), Feio (5'), Luquinhas (45+4'), Vinagre (53'), Augustyniak (79')
Rudol (9'), Jacques Ndiaye (90')
Stolarski (0'), Jacques Ndiaye (40'), Rudol (45+1'), Ceglarz (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan29192854262859
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow29178442192359
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia29167650351555
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin29155947301750
5Legia WarsawLegia29138852381447
6Motor Lublin29127104349-643
7KS CracoviaCracovia2911995147442
8Katowice29126114037342
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik28124123935440
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice2991193031-138
11Korona Kielce29910102838-1037
12Widzew Lodz29106133443-936
13Radomiak Radom29105144045-535
14Zaglebie Lubin2995152742-1532
15Puszcza Niepolomice2969142944-1527
16Lechia GdanskGdansk2976163150-1927
17Slask Wroclaw29510143345-1225
18Stal Mielec2866163046-1624


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!