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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Man City
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Silva (7'), Nunes (90+4')
Guardiola (18'), Gvardiol (70'), Nunes (77'), Silva (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rashford (18' pen.)
Digne (35'), Rogers (50'), Watkins (85')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City boost Champions League hopes as Matheus Nunes scores last-gasp winner to secure a 2-1 victory against Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Aston Villa could line up for their Premier League away to Man City on Tuesday night.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Man City
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-1 Newcastle
Saturday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
66.89% (1.306 1.31) 17.38% (-0.586 -0.59) 15.73% (-0.719 -0.72)
Both teams to score 63.29% (0.595 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.27% (1.463 1.46)28.73% (-1.462 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.35% (1.781 1.78)49.65% (-1.778 -1.78)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.99% (0.666 0.67)8.01% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.76% (1.651 1.65)28.24% (-1.648 -1.65)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (0.15100000000001 0.15)31.2% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (0.175 0.18)67.54% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 66.89%
    Aston Villa 15.73%
    Draw 17.38%
Manchester CityDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.81% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.31% (-0.339 -0.34)
4-1 @ 4.93% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.55% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.23% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.87% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.191 0.19)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.155 0.16)
5-2 @ 1.45% (0.117 0.12)
4-3 @ 1.11% (0.061 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.05% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 66.89%
1-1 @ 7.35% (-0.363 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.5% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.38%
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-1 @ 2.91% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 15.73%

How you voted: Man City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City
58.0%
Draw
15.2%
Aston Villa
26.8%
355
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
2-1
Man City
Duran (16'), Rogers (65')
Cash (37'), Martinez (45+2'), McGinn (90+4')
Foden (90+3')
Lewis (47'), Gvardiol (84'), Grealish (87')
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Man City
4-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (11'), Foden (45+1', 62', 69')
Grealish (32')
Duran (20')
Luiz (38'), Chambers (90+4')
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
1-0
Man City
Bailey (74')
Watkins (60'), Kamara (87')

Stones (45'), Lewis (53')
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Man City
3-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Watkins (61')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
Build-up
Manchester United's Marcus Rashford on October 27, 2024
Man City vs. Aston Villa: Marcus Rashford's record against the Citizens
Sports Mole looks at on-loan Aston Villa forward Marcus Rashford's record against Manchester City.
Apr 20, 10:18
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Apr 20, 16:09
Manchester City's Phil Foden in action on January 14, 2025
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Apr 20, 16:09
Manchester City's Ederson on April 12, 2025
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Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League fixture against Aston Villa.
Apr 20, 16:38
SM-EK MR composite
Man City vs. Aston Villa: Pep Guardiola urged to select two players to quell threat of Marcus Rashford, Youri Tielemans
Man City expert Steven McInerney tells Sports Mole which two players should be selected by Pep Guardiola to quell the threat of Aston Villa duo Marcus Rashford and Youri Tielemans in Tuesday's important Premier League clash.
Apr 21, 08:30
Aston Villa's Matty Cash, Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara and Morgan Rogers celebrate on April 19, 2025
Man City vs. Aston Villa: Visitors looking to end 62-year streak in pivotal Premier League fixture
Aston Villa will be looking to end a 62-year streak when they square off against Manchester City in their Premier League fixture at the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday night.
Apr 22, 11:01
Manchester City's Jack Grealish and Phil Foden on March 15, 2025
Man City vs. Aston Villa confirmed lineups: Foden, Grealish, Rashford, Watkins decisions made for crucial Premier League clash
Manchester City and Aston Villa confirm their starting lineups for tonight's Premier League clash at the Etihad Stadium.
Apr 22, 18:53
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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