Aston Villa

3 - 2

PSG

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.83%) and 0-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.