MX23RW : Thursday, April 17 07:40:50| >> :60:1265:1265:
Leipzig logo
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Aston Villa logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Openda (27'), Baumgartner (62')
Henrichs (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGinn (3'), Duran (52'), Barkley (85')
Digne (45'), Carlos (79')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa thrice take the lead to narrowly beat RB Leipzig 3-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday, with super-subs Jhon Duran and Ross Barkley making the difference.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAston Villa
54.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.54% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)41.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.76% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (0.0020000000000095 0)15.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)31.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 54.27%
    Aston Villa 23.19%
    Draw 22.54%
RB LeipzigDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.13%
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa

RB Leipzig
49.1%
Draw
15.9%
Aston Villa
35.0%
283
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 1am
Club Friendlies 3
RB Leipzig
2-0
Aston Villa
Silva (17'), Openda (41')
Openda (27')

Carlos (27')
Carlos (42')
Aug 3, 2019 2.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
RB Leipzig
1-3
Aston Villa
Poulsen (28')
Hourihane (16', 82'), McGinn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool32237274314376
2Arsenal321712357273063
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle32185961402159
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest32176951381357
5Manchester CityMan City32167962422055
6Chelsea32159856391754
7Aston Villa3215984946354
8Bournemouth321391052401248
9Fulham32139104743448
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32121285149248
11Brentford32127135248443
12Crystal Palace321110114145-443
13Everton32814103438-438
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd32108143845-738
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs321141760491137
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32105174761-1435
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3298153654-1835
18Ipswich TownIpswich3249193367-3421
19Leicester CityLeicester3246222772-4518
20Southampton3224262377-5410


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