MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 23:49:40| >> :120:8837:8837:
Aston Villa logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Bayern logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Bayern

Duran (79')
Maatsen (90+1'), Carlos (90+4'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Upamecano (21'), Gnabry (66')

The Match

Match Report

Jhon Duran scores his fifth goal of the season from the bench to help Aston Villa claim a memorable 1-0 Champions League win over Bayern Munich at Villa Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Aston Villa and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Aston Villa could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
22.61% (1.966 1.97) 19.73% (0.81 0.81) 57.65% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 67.43% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.03% (-1.336 -1.34)28.97% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.06% (-1.653 -1.65)49.93% (1.655 1.66)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.774 0.77)24.94% (-0.772 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (1.059 1.06)59.57% (-1.058 -1.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (-1.056 -1.06)10.16% (1.058 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.6% (-2.475 -2.47)33.4% (2.476 2.48)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 22.61%
    Bayern Munich 57.65%
    Draw 19.73%
Aston VillaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.59% (0.414 0.41)
1-0 @ 3.52% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 2.44% (0.285 0.29)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 22.61%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.188 0.19)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.193 0.19)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.01% (-0.281 -0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.87% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-4 @ 4.01% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-4 @ 2.89% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-4 @ 2.78% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.83% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-5 @ 1.32% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 57.65%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bayern

Aston Villa
17.6%
Draw
11.9%
Bayern Munich
70.5%
545
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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