

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 15.49% ( | 17.4% ( | 67.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.65% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.59% ( | 50.4% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( | 31.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.67% ( | 68.33% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.87% ( | 8.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.47% ( | 28.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 4.25% ( 1-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 2-0 @ 1.69% ( 3-1 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 15.49% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.4% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 1-3 @ 7.81% ( 0-3 @ 6.83% ( 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 1-4 @ 4.9% ( 2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0-4 @ 4.29% ( 2-4 @ 2.8% ( 1-5 @ 2.46% ( 0-5 @ 2.15% ( 2-5 @ 1.41% ( 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 1-6 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 67.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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