MX23RW : Friday, May 2 06:38:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Bayern logo

Werder Bremen
0 - 5
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-2)
Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 9-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Werder Bremen 0-3 Bayern Munich

Though Werder Bremen have proven capable defensively this season, it is difficult to see them keeping a clean sheet given the rampant form of the visitors in front of goal. Fresh from their win in the Champions League, Bayern will be full of confidence and should be strong favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.49% (0.173 0.17) 17.4% (0.115 0.11) 67.11% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 62.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.65% (-0.184 -0.18)29.35% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.59% (-0.227 -0.23)50.4% (0.233 0.23)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (0.081000000000003 0.08)31.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (0.09 0.09)68.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.101 -0.1)8.13% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.47% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)28.53% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.49%
    Bayern Munich 67.11%
    Draw 17.4%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 2.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.69% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 7.44% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.59% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.83% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 67.11%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Bayern

Werder Bremen
12.3%
Draw
6.1%
Bayern Munich
81.6%
114
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
0-1
Werder Bremen

Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
0-4
Bayern

Ducksch (20'), Lynen (56')
Sane (4', 90'), Kane (74'), Tel (90+4')
Min-jae (55')
May 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Werder Bremen
1-2
Bayern
Schmidt (87')
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Bayern
6-1
Werder Bremen
Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')
Jung (10')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Werder Bremen
1-3
Bayern
Fullkrug (86')
Sargent (70')
Goretzka (22'), Gnabry (35'), Lewandowski (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!