Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 6
Bayern

Gigovic (82')
Rapp (89')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Musiala (1'), Kane (7', 43', 90+1' pen.), Remberg (13' og.), Olise (65')
Palhinha (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Bayern Munich
22.85% ( 0.1)	19.82% ( 0.08)	57.33% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 67.43% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.9% (

-0.27)

29.1% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.9% (

-0.34)

50.1% (

0.34)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.08)

24.84% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

-0.12)

59.44% (

0.12)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

-0.13)

10.29% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.32% (

-0.3)

33.68% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 22.85%

Bayern Munich 57.33%

Draw 19.82%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.85%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.82%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.33%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Bayern

Holstein Kiel

17.9%

Draw

4.7%

Bayern Munich

77.4%

Head to Head

Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm

Second Round

Holstein Kiel

2-2

Bayern

(Aggregate 2-2 | Holstein Kiel win 6-5 on penalties)

Bartels (37'), Wahl (90+5')
Meffert (45')

Gnabry (14'), Sane (47')
Sule (61')

> Preview

Form Guide

Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim 3-2 Holstein Kiel

Alemannia Aachen 2-3 Holstein Kiel

Borussia M'bach 1-0 Holstein Kiel

AB 1-0 Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel 0-0 SonderjyskE

Bayern 2-0 Freiburg

Wolfsburg 2-3 Bayern

Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table