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Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg
Monday, August 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper
Tuesday, August 20 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
18.75% (-1.495 -1.5)19.17% (-0.509 -0.51)62.07% (2.005 2.01)
Both teams to score 62.98% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (0.104 0.1)31.93% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (0.123 0.12)53.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.344 -1.34)30.04% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (-1.645 -1.65)66.17% (1.645 1.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.527 0.53)9.97% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.198 1.2)32.96% (-1.198 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.75%
    Bayern Munich 62.07%
    Draw 19.17%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.297 -0.3)
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 18.75%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 7.36% (0.179 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-3 @ 4.42% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.195 0.19)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.286 0.29)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.96% (0.132 0.13)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.165 0.17)
2-5 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.07%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
11.5%
Draw
10.2%
Bayern Munich
78.3%
157
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


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