Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
| 81.26% ( | 11.41% ( | 7.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.62% ( | 22.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.59% ( | 41.4% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.85% | 4.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.65% ( | 17.34% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( | 39.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.39% ( | 76.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | FC Koln |
| 3-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 3-1 @ 8.17% 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 4-0 @ 7.08% ( 4-1 @ 6.5% ( 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 5-0 @ 4.51% ( 5-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-2 @ 2.98% ( 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 6-1 @ 2.2% ( 5-2 @ 1.9% ( 7-0 @ 1.09% ( 6-2 @ 1.01% 7-1 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 81.26% | 1-1 @ 4.84% ( 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0-0 @ 1.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.24% Total : 11.41% | 1-2 @ 2.22% ( 0-1 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 7.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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