

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-3 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 18.34% ( | 18.85% ( | 62.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.95% ( | 31.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.56% ( | 52.44% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( | 29.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.99% ( | 66% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.46% ( | 9.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.04% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 4.88% ( 1-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 3-1 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 18.34% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.85% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 1-3 @ 7.45% ( 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0-3 @ 6.17% ( 2-3 @ 4.49% ( 1-4 @ 4.37% ( 0-4 @ 3.62% ( 2-4 @ 2.64% ( 1-5 @ 2.06% ( 0-5 @ 1.7% ( 2-5 @ 1.24% ( 3-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 62.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
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