

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 81.66% ( | 11.29% ( | 7.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.01% ( | 22.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.76% ( | 42.24% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.8% ( | 4.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 82.48% ( | 17.51% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.8% ( | 41.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.27% ( | 77.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 3-0 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 4-0 @ 7.28% ( 4-1 @ 6.46% ( 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 5-0 @ 4.62% ( 5-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 4-2 @ 2.86% ( 6-0 @ 2.44% ( 6-1 @ 2.16% ( 5-2 @ 1.82% ( 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 7-1 @ 0.98% ( 6-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 4.06% Total : 81.66% | 1-1 @ 4.86% ( 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0-0 @ 1.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 11.29% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( 0-1 @ 1.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
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