Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 34.62% ( | 24.07% ( | 41.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.44% ( | 41.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.04% ( | 63.96% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( | 23.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.2% ( | 57.79% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( | 20.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.3% ( | 52.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0-4 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 41.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64 | 35 | 29 | 64 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 43 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
