U. Catolica3 - 1Defensa
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, April 11 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Saturday, April 19 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
49.49% ( 0.06) | 24.92% ( -0.02) | 25.58% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
