Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
U. Catolica0 - 0Aucas
FT
Juan Vazquez (60'), Jairo Ontaneda Campos (63')
U. Catolica win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Aucas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: U. Catolica 1-1 Libertad
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, July 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for an Aucas win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Aucas |
54.82% ( 0.05) | 22.8% ( -0.02) | 22.37% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
