

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim | 
| 42.88% (  -0.28) | 23.88% (  -0) | 33.23% (  0.29) | 
| Both teams to score 61.06% (  0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.95% (  0.1) | 41.05% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.55% (  0.1) | 63.44% (  -0.1) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.59% (  -0.08) | 19.41% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.77% (  -0.13) | 51.23% (  0.13) | 
| Heidenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.77% (  0.21) | 24.23% (  -0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.42% (  0.3) | 58.57% (  -0.29) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Heidenheim | 
| 2-1 @ 8.96% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.71% (  -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.32% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.9% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 3.45% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.01% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.42% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.42% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 10.92% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.64% (  0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.75% (  0.04) 0-1 @ 6.67% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 3.66% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 3% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 2.23% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% (  0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.23% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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