Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Heidenheim4 - 2Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-0 Mainz
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Heidenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen
The sides boast similar attacking records heading into this one, and we expect both of them to get on the scoresheet. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with the teams having to settle for a point in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
55.37% ( 2.77) | 22.65% ( -0.25) | 21.98% ( -2.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( -2.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
