Major League Soccer

May 18, 2025 at 2.25am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Dallas
0 - 2
Houston

Acosta (84'), Acosta (84'), Henrique Fonseca de Araujo Martins (88'), Henrique Fonseca de Araujo Martins (88'), Urhoghide (90+4'), Urhoghide (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGlynn (64', 64'), Dorsey (81', 81')
Raines (44'), Raines (44'), Escobar (84'), Escobar (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Dallas and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
38.78% ( 1.83)	25.32% ( 0.5)	35.9% ( -2.32)

Both teams to score 56.54% (

-1.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

-2.36)

47.2% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57% (

-2.23)

69.43% (

2.23)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-0.1)

24.01% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73% (

-0.14)

58.27% (

0.14)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

-2.34)

25.59% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

-3.3)

60.47% (

3.3)

Score Analysis

Dallas 38.78%

Houston Dynamo 35.9%

Draw 25.31%

Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.78%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.48% Total : 35.9%

Head to Head

Feb 23, 2025 1.30am

Houston

1-2

Dallas

Bassi (18')
Kowalczyk (32')

Musa (55'), Julio (76')
Kamungo (25'), Ibeagha (65'), Ramiro (67'), Urhoghide (89')

> Preview

May 19, 2024 1.30am

Houston

1-1

Dallas

Bassi (45+6')
Kowalczyk (54'), Segal (90+3')

Musa (69')
Norris (57')

> Preview

Apr 28, 2024 1.30am

Dallas

2-0

Houston

Musa (55'), Ibeagha (80')
Estevez (6'), Musa (16'), Illarramendi (42'), Kamungo (73')

Micael (62'), Gaines (87')
Dorsey (5')

Oct 1, 2023 1.30am

Houston

0-0

Dallas

Hadebe (8'), Franco (29'), Carrasquilla (71'), Herrera (84')

Burgess (41')

> Preview

May 21, 2023 1.30am

Dallas

1-1

Houston

Obrian (53')

Ulfarsson (85')
Gasper (25'), Escobar (90+2')

> Preview

Form Guide

Dallas 1-1 Salt Lake

San Diego 5-0 Dallas

Inter Miami 3-4 Dallas

Minnesota Utd 0-0 Dallas

Dallas 0-1 Seattle

Atlanta 1-1 Dallas

Houston 2-0 Minnesota Utd

Houston 1-3 Seattle

Los Angeles 2-0 Houston

Houston 2-0 Austin

Houston 2-2 Colorado

LA Galaxy 1-1 Houston

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0