

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 47.65% ( | 23.06% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.02% ( | 38.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.7% ( | 61.3% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( | 16.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.46% ( | 46.53% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( | 25.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.48% ( | 60.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 4.31% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
| 12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
| 13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
| 10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
