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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 at 10pm UK
BC Place Stadium
LA Galaxy

Vancouver
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Adekugbe (2'), White (87')
Berhalter (35'), Ocampo (78'), White (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pec (39')
Pec (18'), Cerrillo (41'), Fagundez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa
Friday, February 28 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-2 San Diego
Monday, February 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

The Caps played earlier this week in the Champions Cup, ousting Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 on aggregate, and going up against an angry Galaxy team following on a few days' rest could spell bad news for the home team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 22.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 62.47% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)38.42% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)60.71% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)16.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.66% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)46.33% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)25.13% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.16% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)59.83% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 47.38%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 29.62%
    Draw 22.98%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Vancouver vs LA Galaxy

Vancouver Whitecaps
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-2
Vancouver
Pec (32'), Berhalter (50' og.), Paintsil (70'), Puig (90+3')
White (64'), Adekugbe (90+7')
Berhalter (8'), Armstrong (86'), Vite (88')
Apr 14, 2024 3.30am
Vancouver
1-3
LA Galaxy
White (77')
Cubas (20'), Veselinovic (45+2'), Ahmed (54'), White (85')
Joveljic (56'), Paintsil (80'), Fagundez (82')
Yamane (25')
Jul 16, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
4-2
LA Galaxy
White (2'), Gauld (10', 23' pen.), Cordova (90+4')
Schopf (48')
Brugman (61'), Delgado (74')
Mavinga (9'), Puig (23')
Mavinga (22')
Sep 15, 2022 3am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia5401126612
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC5311104610
3Inter MiamiInter Miami431094510
4Nashville SCNashville531183510
5Chicago Fire5311129310
6Columbus Crew52306339
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls52216428
8New York City FCNY City52216518
9Orlando City5212131127
10FC CincinnatiCincinnati521268-27
11DC United513179-26
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta512268-25
13New England RevolutionNew England401315-41
14Toronto5014612-61
15CF MontrealMontreal501429-71

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver5401105512
2Austin FCAustin53024319
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles53026609
4St Louis City52214138
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd52217618
6Colorado RapidsColorado522167-18
7Dallas521278-17
8Portland TimbersPortland521267-17
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes52038806
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake520359-46
11Seattle SoundersSeattle51227705
12Houston DynamoHouston502338-52
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy5023410-62
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas5014510-51
15San Diego FC00000000


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