

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 56.19% ( | 21.25% ( | 22.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( | 36.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.33% ( | 58.67% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( | 12.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.55% ( | 39.45% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.75% ( | 65.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.97% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | DC United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Toronto | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Austin FCAustin | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Portland TimbersPortland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Dallas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | St Louis City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
| 13 | Houston DynamoHouston | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 2 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
