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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
0 - 1
Houston


Driussi (33'), Cascante (38'), Biro (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Austin
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Vancouver
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Despite the returns of Driussi, Hines-Ike and Valencia, Austin's recent inability to win on their turf means Houston should fancy their prospects of nicking a positive result in the Texan battle this weekend, thus sealing a fourth consecutive MLS road triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
34.72% (1.304 1.3) 23.85% (0.293 0.29) 41.43% (-1.595 -1.6)
Both teams to score 61.63% (-0.687 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5% (-1.063 -1.06)40.5% (1.065 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (-1.101 -1.1)62.88% (1.103 1.1)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.227 0.23)23.13% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (0.33 0.33)57% (-0.327 -0.33)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-1.133 -1.13)19.82% (1.134 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-1.868 -1.87)51.9% (1.869 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 34.72%
    Houston Dynamo 41.43%
    Draw 23.85%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.21 0.21)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.365 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.16 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.22 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 41.43%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
40.0%
15
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-0
Houston
Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')

Dorsey (60')
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
3Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
4Austin FCAustin10514710-316
5Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241415-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024467-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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