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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Toronto FC

Houston
0 - 1
Toronto


Olsen (0'), Kowalczyk (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osei Owusu (54')
Osorio (6'), Flores (45'), Bernardeschi (61'), (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-3 Toronto
Friday, August 9 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-0 Toronto

Although the Dynamo have not been quite as sharp at home in 2024, we believe they have more than enough quality to trouble a Toronto backline that have shown little improvement defensively throughout the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawToronto
61.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 21.09% (0.102 0.1) 17.02% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.42% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.535 -0.54)44.06% (0.534 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.523 -0.52)66.44% (0.524 0.52)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (-0.19 -0.19)13.69% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.08% (-0.376 -0.38)40.92% (0.375 0.38)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.375 -0.38)39.27% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (-0.351 -0.35)75.97% (0.35000000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 61.88%
    Toronto 17.02%
    Draw 21.09%
Houston DynamoDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.04% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.5% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 61.88%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.09%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.02%

How you voted: Houston vs Toronto

Houston Dynamo
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Toronto
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2020 2am
Jul 21, 2019 12.30am
Apr 21, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 8
Houston
5-1
Toronto
Manotas (3'), Leonardo (7'), Alexander (46'), Elis (60'), Quioto (77')
Taintor (52')
Taintor (29'), Hamilton (79')
Apr 29, 2017 12.30am
Toronto
2-0
Houston
Altidore (16', 32')

Elis (58'), Cabezas (70')
Aug 15, 2016 2.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami26175458391956
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati2615384435948
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls261012443321142
5New York City FCNY City2611693832639
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2610883128338
7Orlando City2697103941-234
8Toronto27103143547-1233
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2677123538-328
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2669113454-2027
12Chicago Fire2668123244-1226
13Nashville SCNashville2668122641-1526
14DC United2668123854-1626
15New England RevolutionNew England2482142847-1926

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy27157552361652
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake26128651361544
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Seattle SoundersSeattle2611783731640
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
7Portland TimbersPortland2610795446837
8Houston DynamoHouston2510783531437
9Austin FCAustin2697103037-734
10Dallas2696114242033
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2696114244-233
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2776144452-827
13St Louis City26412103650-1424
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2652193361-2817


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