

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 65.33% ( | 19.23% ( | 15.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.44% ( | 38.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.14% ( | 60.86% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( | 11.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.59% ( | 35.41% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( | 37.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.35% ( | 74.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 5-1 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 4.32% Total : 65.33% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.23% | 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | DC United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 13 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 | Dallas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | St Louis City | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 3 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
