Major League Soccer

Jun 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
0 - 1
Austin

Tapias (12'), Dotson (25'), Lod (90+2')
Dotson (26')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rubio (31')
Obrian (49'), Fodrey (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 5-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Austin FC

The sides boast similar defensive records heading into this one, but Minnesota have been significantly better at the top end of the pitch, and we are backing them to emerge victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Austin FC
60.2% ( -0.58)	21.27% ( 0.08)	18.53% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 54.85% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68% (

0.44)

42.31% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28% (

0.44)

64.72% (

-0.44)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35% (

-0.03)

13.64% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18% (

-0.07)

40.82% (

0.07)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51% (

0.82)

36.48% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

0.81)

73.27% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 60.2%

Austin FC 18.53%

Draw 21.27%

Minnesota United	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 60.2%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.53%