

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 64.51% ( | 20.43% ( | 15.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( | 44.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.86% ( | 13.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.18% ( | 39.82% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( | 42.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.36% ( | 78.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 5-1 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 1-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
| 15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
