Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
64.51% (![]() | 20.43% (![]() | 15.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% (![]() | 44.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.84% (![]() | 67.17% (![]() |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% (![]() | 13.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.18% (![]() | 39.82% (![]() |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.76% (![]() | 42.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.36% (![]() | 78.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
2-0 @ 11.43% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.26% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 9.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 26 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 26 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 23 |
5 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 21 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
12 | Toronto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 13 |
14 | DC United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Dallas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
12 | St Louis City | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 8 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 4 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |