

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 50.96% ( | 23.03% ( | 26.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( | 41.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( | 63.69% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( | 16.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.08% ( | 45.91% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( | 29.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.95% ( | 65.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 26.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |
