Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Lucca (26'), Kabasele (61')
Bijol (9'), Karlstrom (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fagioli (46'), Comuzzo (57'), Kean (82')
Beltran (50'), Richardson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Udinese
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
30.96% ( -0.48)	24.63% ( 0.01)	44.41% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

-0.23)

45.38% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28% (

-0.22)

67.72% (

0.22)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

-0.42)

27.73% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

-0.55)

63.3% (

0.55)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.12)

20.53% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.18)

53.03% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Udinese 30.96%

Fiorentina 44.41%

Draw 24.63%

Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.96%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.41%