Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Lucca (26'), Kabasele (61')
Bijol (9'), Karlstrom (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fagioli (46'), Comuzzo (57'), Kean (82')
Beltran (50'), Richardson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Udinese
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
30.96% ( -0.48)	24.63% ( 0.01)	44.41% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62% (

-0.23)

45.38% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28% (

-0.22)

67.72% (

0.22)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

-0.42)

27.73% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

-0.55)

63.3% (

0.55)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.12)

20.53% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.18)

53.03% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Udinese 30.96%

Fiorentina 44.41%

Draw 24.63%

Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.96%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.41%

How you voted: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Udinese

16.1%

Draw

9.7%

Fiorentina

74.2%

Head to Head

Dec 23, 2024 5.30pm

Gameweek 17

Fiorentina

1-2

Udinese

Kean (8' pen.)
Sottil (5'), Kouame (81')

Lucca (49'), Thauvin (57')
Zemura (38'), Kristensen (46'), Ehizibue (52'), Sava (73'), Lovric (90+5')

> Preview

Jan 14, 2024 5pm

Gameweek 20

Fiorentina

2-2

Udinese

Beltran (55'), N'Zola (87' pen.)
Ranieri (62')

Lovric (10'), Thauvin (73')
Kamara (35')

> Preview

Sep 24, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 5

Udinese

0-2

Fiorentina

Martinez (32'), Bonaventura (90+2')
Ranieri (39')

> Preview

May 14, 2023 2pm

Gameweek 35

Fiorentina

2-0

Udinese

Castrovilli (7'), Bonaventura (90')

> Preview

Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm

Gameweek 4

Udinese

1-0

Fiorentina

Beto (17')

> Preview

Form Guide

Fiorentina 3-2 Bologna

Venezia 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 2-2 Betis

Roma 1-0 Fiorentina

Betis 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table