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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 3, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Udinese logo

Cagliari
1 - 2
Udinese

Zortea (35')
Coman (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zarraga (27'), Kristensen (67')
Bijol (46'), Atta (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-2 Cagliari
Monday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 0-0 Bologna
Monday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawUdinese
37.75% (0.992 0.99)26.95% (-0.362 -0.36)35.3% (-0.628 -0.63)
Both teams to score 51.03% (1.103 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (1.406 1.41)54.2% (-1.404 -1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (1.161 1.16)75.61% (-1.159 -1.16)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (1.263 1.26)27.82% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (1.586 1.59)63.42% (-1.584 -1.58)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (0.29899999999999 0.3)29.3% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (0.366 0.37)65.26% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 37.75%
    Udinese 35.29%
    Draw 26.95%
CagliariDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.197 0.2)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.141 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.101 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.75%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Udinese

Cagliari
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Udinese
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
2-0
Cagliari
Lucca (38'), Davis (78')
Lucca (64'), Toure (81')

Makoumbou (5'), Azzi (80')
Makoumbou (30')
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 25
Udinese
1-1
Cagliari
Zemura (14')
Lucca (20'), Gianetti (54'), Ferreira (77')
Gaetano (44')
Dossena (33'), Augello (38')
Nov 1, 2023 8pm
Second Round
Udinese
1-2
Cagliari
Guessand (63')
Guessand (79'), Quina (90+4'), Ferreira (108')
Viola (80'), Lapadula (120')
Pereiro (76'), Wieteska (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 4
Cagliari
0-0
Udinese
Wieteska (59')
Wieteska (90+5')
Thauvin (63')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Udinese
5-1
Cagliari
Becao (38'), Beto (45', 49', 73'), Molina (59')
Walace (42'), Pereyra (61')
Pedro (32')
Henrique (20'), Grassi (35'), Baselli (59')
Grassi (82')