Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Udinese |
| 37.75% ( | 26.95% ( | 35.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.8% ( | 54.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( | 75.61% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( | 27.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( | 63.42% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.75% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.29% |