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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Cagliari

Arnautovic (13'), Martinez (26'), Aurel Bisseck (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piccoli (48')
Deiola (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 5.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.34%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
81.68% (0.081000000000003 0.08)12.6% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)5.72% (-0.044899999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.81% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)36.96% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.09% (0.013000000000005 0.01)6.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)25.36% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.84% (-0.149 -0.15)56.16% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.44% (-0.087 -0.09)88.56% (0.086000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 81.67%
    Cagliari 5.72%
    Draw 12.6%
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 13.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 12.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.25% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 4.41% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 81.67%
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 12.6%
0-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Cagliari

Inter Milan
90.3%
Draw
8.1%
Cagliari
1.6%
62
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-3
Inter Milan
Bastoni (53'), Martinez (71'), Calhanoglu (78' pen.)
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
2-2
Cagliari
Thuram (12'), Calhanoglu (74' pen.)
Shomurodov (64'), Viola (83')
Prati (40'), Mina (73')
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Inter Milan

Luvumbo (83')
Dumfries (21'), Martinez (30')
Mkhitaryan (81')
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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