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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 12, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Cagliari

Arnautovic (13'), Martinez (26'), Aurel Bisseck (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piccoli (48')
Deiola (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Cagliari

Cagliari may have kept a clean sheet in their last two league games - as many times as throughout the previous 28 - but even a makeshift Inter team should have too much firepower for them to handle. If the Nerazzurri can establish an early lead, they will surely take their foot off the gas, with one eye on Bayern Munich's upcoming visit to San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 5.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.34%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
81.68% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 12.6% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 5.72% (-0.044899999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.81% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)36.96% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.09% (0.013000000000005 0.01)6.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)25.36% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.84% (-0.149 -0.15)56.16% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.44% (-0.087 -0.09)88.56% (0.086000000000013 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 81.67%
    Cagliari 5.72%
    Draw 12.6%
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 13.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 12.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.25% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 4.41% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 81.67%
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 12.6%
0-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Cagliari

Inter Milan
90.3%
Draw
8.1%
Cagliari
1.6%
62
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-3
Inter Milan
Bastoni (53'), Martinez (71'), Calhanoglu (78' pen.)
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
2-2
Cagliari
Thuram (12'), Calhanoglu (74' pen.)
Shomurodov (64'), Viola (83')
Prati (40'), Mina (73')
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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