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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Inter logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Billing (87')
Contini (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dimarco (22')
Contini (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 2-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, February 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Inter Milan has a probability of 35.45% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Inter Milan win is 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result
NapoliDrawInter Milan
38.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)26.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)35.45% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.94% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.169 0.17)51.79% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (0.147 0.15)73.55% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.163 0.16)28.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.205 0.2)63.68% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 38.18%
    Inter Milan 35.45%
    Draw 26.37%
NapoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 6% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.45%

How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan

Napoli
23.7%
Draw
29.5%
Inter Milan
46.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Calhanoglu (43')
Inzaghi (55'), Dumfries (80')
McTominay (23')
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Darmian (43')
Pavard (36'), Barella (54')
Jesus (81')
Calzona (37'), Lobotka (52'), Calzona (87')
Jan 22, 2024 7pm
Final
Napoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Rrahmani (42'), Mazzarri (43'), Zerbin (46'), Simeone (55'), Gaetano (90')
Simeone (60')
Martinez (90+1')
Calhanoglu (44'), de Vrij (47'), Barella (55'), Martinez (90+2')
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Elmas (58'), Rrahmani (73')
Calhanoglu (44'), Barella (61'), Thuram (85')
Darmian (78'), Thuram (85')
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
3-1
Inter Milan
Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')
Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')