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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Inter logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Billing (87')
Contini (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dimarco (22')
Contini (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 2-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, February 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan

Not only do Napoli seem to be running out of steam, having arguably overachieved so far this season, but they also have grim recent record against Inter. The Nerazzurri are far from their fluent best either, but they have scored 17 more goals than their hosts to this point, averaging over two per game away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Inter Milan has a probability of 35.45% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Inter Milan win is 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result
NapoliDrawInter Milan
38.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 26.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.45% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.94% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.169 0.17)51.79% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (0.147 0.15)73.55% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.163 0.16)28.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.205 0.2)63.68% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 38.18%
    Inter Milan 35.45%
    Draw 26.37%
NapoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 6% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.45%

How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan

Napoli
23.7%
Draw
29.5%
Inter Milan
46.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Calhanoglu (43')
Inzaghi (55'), Dumfries (80')
McTominay (23')
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Darmian (43')
Pavard (36'), Barella (54')
Jesus (81')
Calzona (37'), Lobotka (52'), Calzona (87')
Jan 22, 2024 7pm
Final
Napoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Rrahmani (42'), Mazzarri (43'), Zerbin (46'), Simeone (55'), Gaetano (90')
Simeone (60')
Martinez (90+1')
Calhanoglu (44'), de Vrij (47'), Barella (55'), Martinez (90+2')
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Elmas (58'), Rrahmani (73')
Calhanoglu (44'), Barella (61'), Thuram (85')
Darmian (78'), Thuram (85')
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
3-1
Inter Milan
Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')
Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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